END OF THE HOUSING AFFAIR Thursday, Dec 6 2007
Economics and News and Society 11:06 am
It seems to be coming. UK house prices, inflated for so long, are beginning to stabilize, and in some areas go down in price. A credit squeeze, both national and global, is beginning. City and mortgage lender watchdogs are becoming pessimistic in unison.
Next year we can expect a harsh credit squeeze, and a fall of maybe 10% in house prices. This may well be true, but believe me, it could get much worse. With confidence gone, the economic system could fall – especially as it is nothing but confidence keeping it afloat.
I’ve been expecting it for years – and technically if the crunch had come maybe five years ago, it might not have been that bad. But central to the reason it did not come then are the banks and their cheap credit.
This was essential, for people simply had to spend to stop the system from collapsing. And every time you spent big over these last few years, the greater would become the depression when it all fell apart.
I’m hoping I’m wrong. But watch this space.
© Anthony North, December 2007
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